Ebook Free Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart
Ebook Free Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart
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Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart
Ebook Free Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart
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Audible Audiobook
Listening Length: 7 hours and 34 minutes
Program Type: Audiobook
Version: Unabridged
Publisher: Books on Tape
Audible.com Release Date: August 20, 2007
Whispersync for Voice: Ready
Language: English, English
ASIN: B000VKCIV8
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Decision making permeates our everyday life. It ranges from the personal to the industrial and commercial where the process becomes costly and critical. Traditionally businesses resorted to intuition and the advice of experts to make a major decision. Lately, however, more and more decision making is relying on data analysis and the use of computer.In this groundbreaking new book, “Super Crunchersâ€, the author, Ian Ayre, believes that the days of making decisions by relying on intuitions are gone. Today’s best and brightest organizations are analyzing massive databases at lightening speed and gaining greater insights into our human behavior. They are the super crunchers. Companies like Google and Amazon have amassed huge data about our behavior. They know our tastes better than we do, they understand our children’s needs, they know all about the shoes and clothes we buy and wear. They even know how much we’ll pay for our flights and whether the fares will go up or down. They are a new breed of decision makers who are now calling the shots.But how do these companies arrive at such massive information. Obviously, they need a huge amount of data to get comprehensive conclusions, and the data should be as randomized as possible to avoid bias. Interestingly, such data is now available through specialized companies whose business is to collect figures from computer charts, store receipts, company reports and the like, and sell them to researchers. They have data on the size of our shoes, the foods we eat, the medicines we buy, the games we play and even the colors we favor. Once the data is collected, researchers use regression and statistical analysis to evaluate the effect of different variables on a commodity or a behavioral trend, e.g. does music in factories increase productivity? Would a salary raise improve employee loyalty…..? And so on.Putting This new data-analysis approach to many fields has made remarkable improvements. Consider the effect on the medical field. The rise of data-based decision making has reversed conventional wisdom. For example it showed that beta blockers can actually help cardiac patients and that estrogen therapy does not help aging women. Now there is a diagnostic program called “Isabel†which allows physicians to enter a patient’s symptoms into a computer and receive the most likely diagnosis. It will also tell the doctor the possible drug that caused the symptoms. Soon it will even specify the most likely therapy. No wonder many doctors are getting concerned about the possible loss of their control over diagnoses once considered a most important factor in their profession.How are we then to look at this groundbreaking approach to decision making? One cannot dispute its speed and efficiency. It is simply remarkable! Business has put it to beneficial use, but mostly to maximize its profits from the unaware consumers. Medicine stands to gain from it technically while also helping the patient financially and health-wise. But buyer be ware! There are no guarantees and consumers have to view it critically on a case-by-case basis in order to evaluate its risks and benefits.F.R. QUBEINNov. 2017
Great book on the importance of data-driven decision making. While I have always been someone that has let the data do the talking, I haven't found an easy way to explain why. Super Crunchers is that easy way! Below I have summarized some of the important points of the book....Super Crunching is crucially about the impact of statistical analysis on real-world decisions. Two core techniques for Super Crunching are the regression and randomization.1. Regression will make your predictions more accurate (Historical approach):It all starts with the use of regressions, and although this method is a basic statistical test of causal relationship it's still a very powerful tool that I need to re-introduce in my analytical life.Regressions make predictions and tell you how precise the prediction is. It tries to hone in on the causal impact of a variable on a dependent. It can tell us the weights to place upon various factors and simultaneously tell us how precisely it was able to estimate these weights.2. Randomization and large sample sizes (Present/Real-Time approach):Reliance on historical data increases the difficulty in discerning causation. Large randomized tests work because the distribution amongst the sample are increasingly identical. Think A/B testing on steroids that allows you to quickly test different combinations! Boils down to the averages of the "treated and untreated" groups.Government has embraced randomization as the best way to test what works. Statistical profiling led to smarter targeting of government supportWith finite amounts of data, we can only estimate a finite number of causal effects3. Neural networkUnlike the regression approach, which estimates the weights to apply to a single equation, the neural approach uses a system of equations represented by a series of interconnected switches.Computers use historical data to train the equation switches to come up with optimal weights. But while the neural technique can yield powerful predictions, it does a poorer job of telling you why it is working or how much confidence it has in its prediction.Super Crunching requires analysis of the results of repeated decisions. If you can't measure what you're trying to maximize, you're not going to be able to rely on data-driven decisions.We humans just overestimate our ability to make good decisions and we're skeptical that a formula that necessarily ignores innumerable pieces of information could do a better job than we could.
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Ebook , by Bill Dahl
Ebook , by Bill Dahl
Well, reading this book is not kind of difficult thing. You can only set aside the time for only few in away. When waiting for the list, waiting for someone, or when gong to the bed, you can take this book to read. Never worry, you can save it into the computer device or save it in your gadget. So, it will not make you feel hard to bring the book everywhere. Because, the , By Bill Dahl that we provided in this website is the soft file forms.
, by Bill Dahl
Ebook , by Bill Dahl
Eagerly anticipating an enhanced ideas and minds are a must. It is not only done by the individuals who have huge tasks. That's likewise not just carried out by the students or income earners in resolving their tasks troubles. Everybody has exact same possibility to look for and look forward for their life. Enhancing the minds and thoughts for better lifestyle is a must. When you have actually chosen the ways of just how you obtain the troubles and also take the fixing, you need to require reflections and also motivations.
If you still feel confused to pick the book and you have no suggestion concerning exactly what sort of publication, you could think about , By Bill Dahl Why should be it? When you are browsing a publication to be read, you will take a look at the cover design at first, won't you? It will certainly also be the way of you to be interested to see the title. The title of this publication is likewise so intriguing to read. From the title, you may be interested to read the content.
Connected to this , By Bill Dahl, you could get it right here directly. This publication is among the collections in this internet collection to read conveniently. With the advanced technology, we will certainly reveal you why this book is referred. It is kind of totally upgraded publication with excellent headline of the text as well as instances. Some workout and also applications exist that will make you really feel a lot more innovative. Associated with this instance, this book is provided to make the right option of analysis materials.
The choices of words, dictions, and how the writer conveys the message and lesson to the viewers are really understandable. So, when you really feel negative, you could not believe so hard regarding this book. You could enjoy as well as take several of the lesson gives. The everyday language use makes the , By Bill Dahl leading in experience. You can discover the method of you to earn appropriate declaration of reading design. Well, it's not a simple difficult if you truly don't such as reading. It will certainly be worse. But, this book will assist you to really feel various of exactly what you can really feel so.
Product details
File Size: 6177 KB
Print Length: 349 pages
Publisher: Krause Publications (February 28, 2011)
Publication Date: February 28, 2011
Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC
Language: English
ASIN: B007KQDTXC
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Life was simple, justalways more of the same! Then little by little my radio dial moved more and more to the right! It was a new kind of music and one by one my friends were getting the message! MOTOWN! New names, new songs, new beat. But behind the scenes at The Motown Factory, there were stories we Suburban White Folks never even thought of. If you couldn't shoot hoops there was little way out of the Ghetto except music and all the things that went with it. Young talented and clueless, these kids knew enough to know this was it. Hit it here and life would be a breeze! Little by little they learned they had to look better, sound better and move better because there were plenty of hungry people with talent ready to step into their shoes so the smart ones gave 120% because they liked this new place! Motown; The Golden years gives us a look at the growing change in our music. This was the new sound to beat and the Beatles and their friends had not yet risen to own the Charts yet! So longtime music writer Bill Dahl has brought the story to us. All the many happy and sad stories that growth and change brought to Motown and how even without knowing all the backdrop, this music was changing our lives, too! Written in a way to keep anyone interested, with facts and stories of all the Motown artists plus a ton of great pictures that took us back to a simpler time and what a time it was. A GREAT read that you can open anywhere and then you could keep on going. If you were there this book brings back the memories or the behind the scenes stories of the Evolution of The Motown Sound and if you weren't there it takes you there. A great read and great pictures! It truly was the Golden Years! A great read and a great gift!!!
Great Book. This is the first book that deal with other Motown singers and songwriters and producers who have been forgotten. They focus on other stars besides The Temptations, Marvin Gaye, Smokey Robinson and The Miracles, The Supremes, The Jackson Five, Stevie Wonder, in this book they introduce you to other great Motown singers, great pictures, rare, never before seen pictures, this is a most for motown fans.
The item was excellent. It was packaged very well and came in as a brand new book. I was very happy and satisfied with the overall outcome. Excellent and very recommended seller.
Love this to the max!
I just find it hard to maneuver using my Kindle eReader. They could have provided a little more details on the more obscure people, like Harvey Fuqua.
I got this book during the Christmas season and I can honestly say it was my best gift. Although I have always liked Motown, the subject is not one I would have requested a book on. Thank you you-know-who for disregarding my list this year. There is so much information here that I'm sure the author, for sanity sake, decided it was best to put it in an encyclopedia-like format. So, "M" for example, under Superstars, would list Martha and the Vandellas, the Marvelettes, and Smokey Robinson and the Miracles. This is not to suggest that because it's in that format, it'a a cold, reference book. Mr. Dahl presents each artist, songwriter, or musician's bio in a very readable, story-like way. And on some major artists, like the writers Holland-Dozier- Holland, they have their few pages, but in addition are incorporated into others' stories. In my family I'm considered the musical trivia expert, but a page didn't go by that I didn't learn something new and fascinating about an artist or the history of Motown. And there's a large section covering I believe every single person who even walked through the doors of Motown! I'm exaggerating, but it's an amazing list along with their stories of course. I was especially impressed with how Mr. Dahl brought out Berry Gordy's story of imagining the impossible and then bringing it to fruition. Oh yes, I forgot to mention there's a ...-load of great photos.
This is a brand new, year 2001 soft back, 384 page book. It features a great 32 page full color section with 50 photos. More than 100 rare photos are included. A host of black and white vintage photos appear along with interesting text throughout the volume. Chapters provide in depth coverage of nearly 100 stars of the golden era of Motown. There is a wealth of information here. You'll find a Motown 1959 - 1972 "Defining the Sound of Young America" chapter included. Motown music fans will find this an interesting read and great reference.
If you are interested in how artists came to sing their songs, and, the lyricists of the songs, this book is for you. Some singers didn't consider themselves singers, but became so out of necessity. When Jr Walker's singer failed to appear at the recording session, so began the sax man's career of wailing. A book of interesting details.
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